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Post by woffan4ever on May 17, 2011 23:35:17 GMT -5
I'll take the gamble!! Let's go for it!!
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Post by vanziedorcede on May 18, 2011 1:21:52 GMT -5
 (cue Bankrupt whistle)  I have to take the WILD card, I'm so sorry. Mark, it's your turn!  |
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Post by pricemodel1997 on May 18, 2011 5:19:57 GMT -5
ooh bad choice Dylan, this is why you don't risk it that early in the round
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Post by Deleted on May 18, 2011 19:11:14 GMT -5
ooh bad choice Dylan, this is why you don't risk it that early in the round I have no clue what you're talking about. How would it make a difference later on?  |
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Post by pricemodel1997 on May 19, 2011 4:55:59 GMT -5
I have no clue what you're talking about. How would it make a difference later on? Generally contestants don't risk it on their first spin of the round. that and a 3 in 24 chance of getting a bankrupt could cause more bad luck for him was all i was saying, as I believe he was having a terrible time with the games on this cycle |
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realdeo
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Post by realdeo on May 19, 2011 5:34:58 GMT -5
What they should risk. There's no mystery on previous round
( Vanz, Nice edit )
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Post by woffan4ever on May 19, 2011 6:37:22 GMT -5
I have no clue what you're talking about. How would it make a difference later on? People risk it on their 1st spin all the time. All I had to lose was the Wild Card, so heck, why not go for it? If I had hit it later on, I might have been risking cash, as well. And why is 3 in 24 chance of hitting bankrupt? I've never heard of that ratio before... |
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realdeo
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Post by realdeo on May 19, 2011 8:56:21 GMT -5
2 from the normal wheel
1 from the mystery
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Post by woffan4ever on May 19, 2011 13:48:59 GMT -5
2 from the normal wheel 1 from the mystery Technically, there is 3 on the normal wheel because there is one on either side of the MILLION. Therefore, the ratio would then be 1 in 8. |
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Post by pricemodel1997 on May 19, 2011 14:50:44 GMT -5
Dylan with out the mdw there would technically be a 3 in 24 on a 24 wedge wheel in the mystery round but with the mdw it's 5 in 24, if it was me playing I would not have risked it that early and the wild card is very valuable if you manage to get to the bonus round with out using it early. That was the other reason I wouldn't have risked the wedge. Kinda a strategy thing
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Post by Deleted on May 19, 2011 15:00:24 GMT -5
Dylan with out the mdw there would technically be a 3 in 24 on a 24 wedge wheel in the mystery round but with the mdw it's 5 in 24, if it was me playing I would not have risked it that early and the wild card is very valuable if you manage to get to the bonus round with out using it early. That was the other reason I wouldn't have risked the wedge. Kinda a strategy thing That still makes no sense to me. |
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therealcu2010
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Post by therealcu2010 on May 19, 2011 15:20:50 GMT -5
Assuming two full Bankrupts on the wheel, plus the 2/3 of one on the MDW, the odds of hitting a Bankrupt would be 8/72, or 11.1%- which would be odds of 1 in 9. If you add in the Bankrupt under the Mystery Wedge, the chance of spinning a Bankrupt goes up to 11/72, or 15.28% (1 in about 6.5). Of course, once one of the Mystery Wedges is turned over, that goes back to 11.1%, since the other one becomes a regular $1000 space.
If the MDW has been picked up, the odds go down to 1 in 12 without the Mystery Wedge Bankrupt and 1 in 8 with it.
After successfully calling a letter, the odds of flipping over the Bankrupt on the Mystery Wedge are 50%, since the other 2 2/3 Bankrupts are irrelevant at the time.
(If someone here has a math degree and finds my logic wrong, please let me know...I'm pretty sure the math itself is correct, though)
Since it was the first spin, and there wasn't a lot of money at stake, risking just $1000 (and the Wild Card) was worth it, and I'd have done the same thing. If it were later in the round and there was more money at stake, it wouldn't be worth it...but early in the round, it's worth the risk. (Though, it IS a Prize Puzzle, which does change the strategy a bit...I don't know if I would have been so quick to jump on the opportunity knowing that there's a game-changing prize at stake...)
(This would be a good discussion to take to the main forum...might not be a terrible idea to split this thread...)
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Post by Deleted on May 19, 2011 16:25:51 GMT -5
Assuming two full Bankrupts on the wheel, plus the 2/3 of one on the MDW, the odds of hitting a Bankrupt would be 8/72, or 11.1%- which would be odds of 1 in 9. If you add in the Bankrupt under the Mystery Wedge, the chance of spinning a Bankrupt goes up to 11/72, or 15.28% (1 in about 6.5). Of course, once one of the Mystery Wedges is turned over, that goes back to 11.1%, since the other one becomes a regular $1000 space. If the MDW has been picked up, the odds go down to 1 in 12 without the Mystery Wedge Bankrupt and 1 in 8 with it. After successfully calling a letter, the odds of flipping over the Bankrupt on the Mystery Wedge are 50%, since the other 2 2/3 Bankrupts are irrelevant at the time. (If someone here has a math degree and finds my logic wrong, please let me know...I'm pretty sure the math itself is correct, though) Since it was the first spin, and there wasn't a lot of money at stake, risking just $1000 (and the Wild Card) was worth it, and I'd have done the same thing. If it were later in the round and there was more money at stake, it wouldn't be worth it...but early in the round, it's worth the risk. (Though, it IS a Prize Puzzle, which does change the strategy a bit...I don't know if I would have been so quick to jump on the opportunity knowing that there's a game-changing prize at stake...) (This would be a good discussion to take to the main forum...might not be a terrible idea to split this thread...) Yeah... sorry for all of the discussion Vanzie. I'd say it was worth it. It's my name sake so, probably nothing tot argue about. But that's just me.  EDIT: How on earth did my post get inside the quote? |
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Post by woffan4ever on May 19, 2011 16:43:26 GMT -5
People risk on the 1st spin ALL THE TIME! Heck, I just had the $1000 & WILD CARD to risk. If I even make it to the bonus round and I did have the WILD CARD, most likely I wouldn't need it because, and I really do not hope I sound as if I am bragging, I can usually figure out the puzzle with the RSTLNE or the 3 con. and 1 vowel I call. The 4th con. would be useless to me. Now, persay, if I had the MDW when I hit the MW, I would NOT have went for it AT ALL. That would be too big of a gamble. I hope this makes sense.
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Post by Deleted on May 19, 2011 16:48:58 GMT -5
Yep. It sounds too conservative to just say that you'll take a little grand and spin again.
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Post by pricemodel1997 on May 19, 2011 19:32:16 GMT -5
I guess we are all clear on this mystery now eh mystery
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realdeo
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Post by realdeo on May 20, 2011 3:20:38 GMT -5
let's say the ratio is 11:72
11, 3x3 from 2 normal and one mystery
2 from million
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